Be Curious and Develop Pattern Recognition

The typical major leaguer’s batting average is a mere two-fifty. Red Sox legend Ted Williams holds a lifetime batting average of three forty-four spanning a nineteen-year career. What set Williams apart from others was his ability to systematically spot patterns. In fact, his obsession with spotting the patterns in his own performance is so legendary that Warren Buffett wrote in the 1997 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder letter about how Berkshire tries to emulate Williams’s approach to hitting to Berkshire’s investing.

Pattern recognition is a cornerstone of both successful hitting and investing. Leveraging curiosity and seeking insights creates consistent results and at times a competitive edge. Many private equity groups organize themselves around pattern recognition. All the quantitative and qualitative factors that make up their investment box help the private equity group leverage pattern recognition—from geography restrictions, industry specialization, growth stage, revenue and profitability attributes—these all help the firm maximize their understanding of specific businesses in specific contexts. They represent Williams’s pattern recognition in the strike zone, letting the private equity firms know when to swing hard and when to let the pitch sail by.

When information is abundant, context is what is scarce. Great pattern recognition requires being curious, asking questions, aggregating data, and establishing a baseline for points of comparison. The diligence process is a form of context creation organized around an investment box and investment thesis. Seek out the patterns.